Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.349399 0.405149 0.463798 0.529809 0.601753 0.677515 0.763056
2025-01-05 0.266494 0.342128 0.426759 0.527321 0.642427 0.769004 0.917652
2025-01-12 0.207927 0.294998 0.398303 0.527175 0.680986 0.856217 1.068477
2025-01-19 0.169401 0.264531 0.383708 0.538899 0.730784 0.955785 1.235085
2025-01-26 0.141749 0.242732 0.375816 0.555856 0.785305 1.060875 1.409802
2025-02-02 0.119655 0.224398 0.369294 0.572279 0.838000 1.163800 1.583308
2025-02-09 0.095877 0.199309 0.350199 0.569478 0.864462 1.233643 1.716845
2025-02-16 0.080221 0.183633 0.341927 0.579404 0.906286 1.322361 1.874194
2025-02-23 0.064402 0.164525 0.326113 0.576814 0.930127 1.387552 2.002231
2025-03-02 0.047646 0.139901 0.298690 0.554847 0.925548 1.414554 2.081074
2025-03-09 0.039182 0.128911 0.291337 0.561128 0.959163 1.491287 2.223864
2025-03-16 0.029769 0.113365 0.274373 0.551178 0.968709 1.535372 2.324237
2025-03-23 0.026017 0.109813 0.278098 0.573946 1.026513 1.646530 2.515626
2025-03-30 0.020237 0.099492 0.268396 0.574551 1.051780 1.713761 2.650073
2025-04-06 0.015637 0.090493 0.259914 0.576259 1.078246 1.782697 2.787402
2025-04-13 0.012838 0.085628 0.258769 0.589781 1.122389 1.876509 2.958893
2025-04-20 0.010850 0.082547 0.260754 0.608416 1.174398 1.981754 3.146644
2025-04-27 0.009094 0.079483 0.262348 0.626222 1.225302 2.085950 3.333921
2025-05-04 0.006543 0.071664 0.252662 0.623464 1.243967 2.144473 3.459483
2025-05-11 0.005102 0.067583 0.250683 0.634127 1.283561 2.233068 3.626758
2025-05-18 0.003483 0.060938 0.241775 0.631450 1.301651 2.290726 3.751838
2025-05-25 0.001803 0.050832 0.222613 0.608159 1.285565 2.298161 3.807101
2025-06-01 0.001207 0.047283 0.219420 0.614855 1.317957 2.376400 3.961177